Inaction Inertia Effect: Foregoing Opportunities as a Consequence of an Initial Failure to Act – a Replication-Extension Study in the Brazilian Population
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15626/MP.2023.3960Keywords:
Inaction Inertia Effect, Decision-making, Replication, Cognitive Bias, Psychology, Behavioral EconomicsAbstract
The inaction inertia effect is a cognitive bias in which forgoing an attractive opportunity reduces the likelihood of accepting a subsequent, less attractive opportunity. This phenomenon was initially demonstrated by Tykocinski et al. (1995), and the present study aimed to replicate their findings and assess the effect in a Brazilian population. We used an online survey with a translated version of the original questionnaire, as well as an extension scenario. The final sample included 436 participants. We performed statistical analyses using the Kruskal-Wallis non-parametric test, comparing three conditions ("Small-Difference", "Large-Difference", and "Control") for the four original scenarios and one extension scenario. We also stratified the scenarios into two categories for a second extension investigation: those involving money (Hotel and Car) and those that did not (Frequent flyer and Fitness center), and evaluated them using linear mixed-effects analyses. We found evidence of the inaction inertia effect in 6 of the 12 comparisons between conditions conducted across the four original scenarios, indicating its presence in this Brazilian sample. All scenarios presented significant differences between conditions (p-values < 0.001; ϵ² ranging from 0.06 to 0.22), except for the Frequent flyer scenario (p-value = 0.073; ϵ² = 0.01). We also observed support for the Inaction Inertia Effect in the extension scenario, providing further evidence of its presence in our sample (p-value = 0.002; ϵ² = 0.03). Moreover, we found that money was a significant factor in participants’ decisions (p-values = 0.004 and 0.002), suggesting that different decision-making processes are involved when money is at stake. This replication-extension study provides evidence of the inaction inertia effect in the Brazilian population, indicating that passage of time and cultural differences may not significantly affect this cognitive bias, first described almost 30 years ago. Materials, data, and code were made available at https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/62NXB
References
Arkes, H. R., Kung, Y.-H., & Hutzel, L. (2002). Regret, valuation, and inaction inertia. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 87(2), 371–385. https://doi.org/10.1006/obhd.2001.2978
Barch, D. M. (2021). Preregistration and registered reports: A key pathway to enhancing robustness and replicability in mental health research. Biological Psychiatry Global Open Science, 1(2), 80–
82. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bpsgos.2021.07.002
Beaton, D. E., Bombardier, C., Guillemin, F., & Ferraz, M. B. (2000). Guidelines for the process of cross-cultural adaptation of self-report measures. Spine, 25(24), 3186–3191. https://doi.org/10.1097/00007632-200012150-00014
Bloom, P. (2017). Afterword: Crisis? what crisis? In Psychological science under scrutiny: Recent challenges and proposed solutions (pp. 349–355). John Wiley & Sons. Chen, J., Hui, L. S., Yu, T., Feldman, G., Zeng, S., Ching, T. L., Ng, C. H., Wu, K. W., Yuen, C. M., Lau, T. K., Cheng, B. L., & Ng, K. W. (2021). Foregone opportunities and choosing not to act: Replications of inaction inertia effect. Social Psychological and Personality Science. https://doi.org/10.1177/1948550619900570
Countryeconomy. (2023a). Brasil - salário mínimo nacional. https://pt.countryeconomy.com/mercado-laboral/salario-minimo-nacional/brasil
Countryeconomy. (2023b). Estados unidos - salário mínimo nacional. https://pt.countryeconomy.com/mercado-laboral/salario-minimo-nacional/estados-unidos?year=1995
Dscout. (2016). Mobile touches dscout’s inaugural study on humans and their tech. https://blog.dscout.com/hubfs/downloads/dscout_mobile_touches_study_2016.pdf
Faul, F., Erdfelder, E., Lang, A.-G., & Buchner, A. (2007). G*power 3: A flexible statistical power analysis program for the social, behavioral, and biomedical sciences. Behavior Research Methods, 39(2), 175–191. https://doi.org/10.3758/bf03193146
Fay, M. P. (2023). Asht: Applied statistical hypothesis tests. https://CRAN.R- project.org/package=asht
Festjens, A., Bruyneel, S., Diecidue, E., & Dewitte, S. (2015). Time-based versus money-based decision making under risk: An experimental investigation. Journal of Economic Psychology, 50, 52–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2015.05.001
Field, S. M., Wagenmakers, E.-J., Kiers, H. A. L., Hoekstra, R., Ernst, A. F., & van Ravenzwaaij, D. (2020). The effect of preregistration on trust in empirical research findings: Results of a registered report. Royal Society Open Science, 7(4), 181351. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.181351
Foster, C. C., & Diab, D. L. (2017). To accept or not to accept a job offer: Examining inaction inertia in an organizational context. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 47(11), 634–645. https://doi.org/10.1111/jasp.12468
Hlavac, M. (2022). Stargazer: Well-formatted regression and summary statistics tables. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=stargazer
IBGE. (2023). Inflação. https://www.ibge.gov.br/explica/inflacao.php
Jamovi. (2020). The jamovi project.
Kassambara, A. (2022a). Ggpubr: “ggplot2” based publication ready plots. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=ggpubr
Kassambara, A. (2022b). Rstatix: Pipe-friendly framework for basic statistical tests. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rstatix
Koller, M. (2016). Robustlmm: An r package for robust estimation of linear mixed-effects models. Journal of Statistical Software, 75(6), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v075.i06
Krijnen, J. M. T., Zeelenberg, M., Breugelmans, S. M., & Putten, M. (2020). Inaction inertia in retirement saving. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 33(1), 52–62. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.2145
Lauer-Leite, I. D., Magalhães, C. M. C., Gouveia, R. S. V., da Fonseca, P. N., de Sousa, D. M. F., & Soares, A. K. S. (2014). Valores humanos e significado do dinheiro: Um estudo correlacional. Psico, 45(1), 15–25. https://doi.org/10.15448/1980-8623.2014.1.12243
LeBel, E. P., Vanpaemel, W., Cheung, F., & Campbell, L. (2019). A brief guide to evaluate replications. Meta-Psychology, 3. https://doi.org/10.15626/MP.2018.843
Lins, S. L. B., & Poeschl, G. (2015). Gastar dinheiro em roupas no shopping: Os significados de “comprar” para adolescentes brasileiros e portugueses. Temas em Psicologia, 23(2), 355–369. https://doi.org/10.9788/tp2015.2-06
Lüdecke, D. (2023). Sjplot: Data visualization for statistics in social science. https://CRAN.R- project.org/package=sjPlot
Paixão, R. A. P. (2017). A tomada de decisão com o Iowa gambling task. Revista Psicologia, Diversidade e Saúde, 6(3), 216–220. https:/doi.org/10.17267/2317-3394rpds.v6i3.1564
Pittman, T. S., Tykocinski, O. E., Sandman-Keinan, R., & Matthews, P. A. (2008). When bonuses back-fire: An inaction inertia analysis of procrastination induced by a missed opportunity. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 21(2), 139–150. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.576
R Core Team. (2022). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. https://www.R- project.org/
Selker, R., Love, J., Dropmann, D., & Moreno, V. (2022). Jmv: The “jamovi” analyses. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=jmv
Silva, L. N. O. d., & Henriques, R. d. S. P. (2017). Representações simbólicas do dinheiro na obra freudiana. Cadernos de Psicanálise, 39(37), 169–183.
Skinner, B. F. (1957). Verbal behavior. Appleton-Century-Crofts. https://doi.org/10.1037/11256-000
Statista. (2021). Forecast number of mobile users worldwide 2020-2024. https://www.statista.com/statistics/218984/number-of-global-mobile-users-since-2010/
Strømland, E. (2019). Preregistration and reproducibility. Journal of Economic Psychology, 75, 102143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2019.01.006
Terris, L. G., & Tykocinski, O. E. (2016). Inaction inertia in international negotiations: The consequences of missed opportunities. British Journal of Political Science, 46(3), 701–717. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123414000118
Triami Media. (2023). Inflação americana em 1995 – inflação ipc americana em 1995. https://www.inflation.eu/pt/taxas-de-inflacao/estados-unidos/inflacao-historica/ipc-inflacao-estados-unidos-1995.aspx
Tykocinski, O. E., & Pittman, T. S. (1998). The consequences of doing nothing: Inaction inertia as avoidance of anticipated counterfactual regret. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 75(3), 607–616. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.75.3.607
Tykocinski, O. E., & Pittman, T. S. (2001). Product aversion following a missed opportunity: Price contrast or avoidance of anticipated regret? Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 23(3), 149–156. https://doi.org/10.1207/S15324834BASP2303_1
Tykocinski, O. E., Pittman, T. S., & Tuttle, E. E. (1995). Inaction inertia: Foregoing future benefits as a result of an initial failure to act. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 68(5), 793–803. https://doi.org/10.1037//0022- 3514.68.5.793
van Putten, M., Zeelenberg, M., & van Dijk, E. (2008). Multiple options in the past and the present: The impact on inaction inertia. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 21(5), 519–531. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.599
Vlaev, I. (2012). How different are real and hypothetical decisions? overestimation, contrast and assimilation in social interaction. Journal of Economic Psychology, 33(5), 963–972. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2012.05.005
Wickham, H., & Bryan, J. (2022). Readxl: Read excel files. https://CRAN.R- project.org/package=readxl
Wickham, H., François, R., Henry, L., & Müller, K. (2022). Dplyr: A grammar of data manipulation. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=dplyr
Yasir, A. S. (2016). Cross cultural adaptation & psychometric validation of instruments: Step-wise description. International Journal of Psychiatry, 1(1), 6–9. https://doi.org/10.33140/ijp/01/01/00001
Zeelenberg, M., Nijstad, B. A., van Putten, M., & van Dijk, E. (2006). Inaction inertia, regret, and valuation: A closer look. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 101(1), 89–104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.obhdp.2005.11.004
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Rodrigo Sardinha Borborema, Mariana de Moraes Ferreira, Ana Luiza Martins da Silva, Rafael Valdece Sousa Bastos, Daniel Fatori, Gilad Feldman, Leonardo Seda, Marcelo Camargo Batistuzzo

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.